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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Empirical validation of an agent-based model of wood markets in Switzerland
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Stefan Holm
  • Lorenz Hilty
  • Renato Lemm
  • Oliver Thees
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title PLoS ONE
Publisher Public Library of Science (PLoS)
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 1932-6203
Volume 13
Number 1
Page Range e0190605
Date 2018
Abstract Text We present an agent-based model of wood markets and show our efforts to validate this model using empirical data from different sources, including interviews, workshops, experiments, and official statistics. Own surveys closed gaps where data was not available. Our approach to model validation used a variety of techniques, including the replication of historical production amounts, prices, and survey results, as well as a historical case study of a large sawmill entering the market and becoming insolvent only a few years later. Validating the model using this case provided additional insights, showing how the model can be used to simulate scenarios of resource availability and resource allocation. We conclude that the outcome of the rigorous validation qualifies the model to simulate scenarios concerning resource availability and allocation in our study region.
Free access at PubMed ID
Digital Object Identifier 10.1371/journal.pone.0190605
PubMed ID 29351300
Other Identification Number merlin-id:15755
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