Luca Taschini, An Empirical and Theoretical Study on Emission Permits, University of Zurich, Faculty of Economics, Business Administration and Information Technology, 2008. (Dissertation)
Market-based measures are currently very popular among policy makers. In a system for marketable permits, relevant companies exchange permits on the theory that trading creates economic incentives that encourage firms to minimize the costs to society of pollution control. The chief appeal of economic incentives as the regulatory device for achieving
environmental standards is the potentially large cost-saving that they promise. The source of these cost savings is the capacity of economic instruments to take advantage of the large differentials abatement costs across polluters, as formally proved by [74]. In chapter 2, we review fundamental concepts in environmental economics and survey the main theoretical
results regarding the use of emission permits.
In an effort to bridge the gap between theory and observed market-price behavior, in chapter 3 we investigate the historical time series of the SO2 and CO2 emission permits price in the U.S. market and in the EU ETS, respectively. More precisely, we advocate the use of a new GARCH-type structure for the analysis of the returns of the permit price and demonstrate
its effectiveness in terms of model fit and out-of-sample value-at-risk forecasting.
Taking into account the most important features of the EU ETS, in chapter 4 we provide a simple conceptual framework and develop an equilibrium model for the price of the emission permits. This chapter is similar in spirit to [44] and [91] - two papers developed in parallel to our work. Unlike these two, this chapter gives insights into the dynamics of the CO2 permit price for a finite time horizon in presence of asymmetric information. In particular, the obtained equilibrium price for emission reflects the scarcity or excess of permits in the market. Finally, we introduce a CO2-option pricing model comparison. The comparison is carried out between the conventional Black, Merton and Scholes model and our equilibrium model.
In the final chapter of the thesis, chapter 5, we evaluate when it is optimal to undertake a reversible investment to reduce noxious emissions or trading permits. In other words, we evaluate the price-level at which trading permits is a cheaper solution. In particular, I derive in analytic form the premium for the flexibility embedded in emission permits, extending the works of [22] and [5]. This preliminary result explains the different behavior of the premium for the flexibility of emission permits under both reversible and irreversible investment. Such a result has also extremely interesting and practical relevance for policy makers, as discussed in the chapter. |
|
Stefano Battiston, Frank Schweitzer, Frank E Walter, A Model of a Trust-based Recommendation System in a Social Network, Autonomous agents and multi-agent systems, Vol. 16 (1), 2008. (Journal Article)
In this paper, we present a model of a trust-based recommendation system on a social network. The idea of the model is that agents use their social network to reach information and their trust relationships to filter it. We investigate how the dynamics of trust among agents affect the performance of the system by comparing it to a frequency-based recommendation system. Furthermore, we identify the impact of network density, preference heterogeneity among agents, and knowledge sparseness to be crucial factors for the performance of the system. The system self-organises in a state with performance near to the optimum; the performance on the global level is an emergent property of the system, achieved without explicit coordination from the local interactions of agents. |
|
Stefano Battiston, Mauro Napoletano, Frank Schweitzer, König Michael D, On Algebraic Graph Theory and the Dynamics of Innovation Networks, Networks and heterogeneous media, Vol. 3 (2), 2008. (Journal Article)
We investigate some of the properties and extensions of a dynamic innovation network model recently introduced in. In the model, the set of efficient graphs ranges, depending on the cost for maintaining a link, from the complete graph to the (quasi-) star, varying within a well defined class of graphs. However, the interplay between dynamics on the nodes and topology of the network leads to equilibrium networks which are typically not efficient and are characterized, as observed in empirical studies of R&D networks, by sparseness, presence of clusters and heterogeneity of degree. In this paper, we analyze the relation between the growth rate of the knowledge stock of the agents from R&D collaborations and the properties of the adjacency matrix associated with the network of collaborations. By means of computer simulations we further investigate how the equilibrium network is affected by increasing the evaluation time τ over which agents evaluate whether to maintain a link or not. We show that only if τ is long enough, efficient networks can be obtained by the selfish link formation process of agents, otherwise the equilibrium network is inefficient. This work should assist in building a theoretical framework of R&D networks from which policies can be derived that aim at fostering efficient innovation networks. |
|
Bruno Staffelbach, Bilder und Leitbilder, Armee aktuell, Vol. 1 (6), 2008. (Journal Article)
|
|
Bruno Staffelbach, Gudela Grote, Schweizer HR-Barometer : Lohnzufriedenheit und psychologischer Vetrag, NZZ Verlag, Zürich, 2008. (Book/Research Monograph)
|
|
Robert Göx, Ökonomische Konsequenzen einer verstärkten Regulierung von Managergehältern, In: Max Boemle: Festschrift zum 80. Geburtstag, SKV, Zürich, p. 183 - 204, 2008. (Book Chapter)
|
|
Robert Göx, Uwe Heller, Risiken und Nebenwirkungen der Offenlegungspflicht von Vorstandsbezügen, Individual- vs. Kollektivausweis, Schmalenbachs Zeitschrift für betriebswirtschaftliche Forschung, Vol. 60 (2), 2008. (Journal Article)
|
|
Robert Göx, Oliver Dürr, Uwe Heller, Verfahrenswahl bei Risiko, Zeitschrift für Betriebswirtschaft, Vol. 78 (7-8), 2008. (Journal Article)
This paper analyzes the choice among alternative fixed and variable cost structures under demand uncertainty. We show that the standard decision rules for the choice among cost structures under certainty continue to hold if the decision maker is risk neutral. If the decision maker is risk averse, the optimal cost structure depends on the decision model. With cost-based decision making, the break even quantities are lower than under certainty. If the decision is based on contribution margins, the opposite holds. That is, a cost structure with higher fixed and lower variable cost becomes attractive for a lower (higher) quantity than under certainty if the decision maker is risk averse and makes his decision on the basis of cost (contribution margin). We also show that cost structures that are dominated under certainty can become attractive for a risk averse decision maker. Finally, we provide a simple agency model and show that the choice among different cost structures can not be separated from the optimal solution of the agency problem even if the principal is risk neutral. More generally, our results suggest that a simple comparison of cost functions is usually not sufficient for an optimal choice between cost structures under uncertainty. |
|
Kalle Lyytinen, Thomas Keil, Vladislav Fomin, A framework to build process theories of anticipatory information and communication technology (ICT) standardizing, International Journal of IT Standards and Standardization Research, Vol. 6 (1), 2008. (Journal Article)
Standards have become critical to information and communication technologies (ICTs) as they become complex and pervasive. We propose a process theory framework to explain anticipatory standardizing outcomes post hoc when the standardizing process is viewed as networks of events. Anticipatory standards define future capabilities for ICT ex ante in contrast to ex post standardizing existing practices or capabilities through de facto standardization in the market. The theoretical framework offers the following: a) a lexicon in the form of the ontology and typology of standardizing events; b) a grammar, or a set of combination rules, for standardizing events to build process representations; c) an analysis and appreciation of contexts in which standardizing unfolds; and d) logic yielding theoretical explanations of standardizing outcomes based on the analysis of process representations. We show how the framework can help analyze standardization data as networks of events as well as explain standardizing outcomes. We illustrate the plausibility of the approach by applying it to wireless standardization to explain standardizing outcomes. |
|
Thomas Keil, Markku Maula, Henri Schildt, Shaker A Zahra, The effect of governance modes and relatedness of external business development activities on innovative performance, Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 29 (8), 2008. (Journal Article)
|
|
Thomas Keil, Tomi Laamanen, Performance of serial acquirers: toward an acquisition program perspective, Strategic Management Journal, Vol. 29 (6), 2008. (Journal Article)
Based on an analysis of the most active acquirers in seven industry sectors in the United States in the 1990s, we find that both a high rate of acquisitions and a high variability of the rate are negatively related to performance. An acquirer's size, the scope of its acquisition program, and acquisition experience moderate the relationship by weakening the negative effects. Our findings contribute to an improved understanding of acquisition capabilities and program-level acquisition performance, thereby adding to an emerging stream of research that is building an acquisition program perspective. |
|
Martin Grossmann, Helmut Max Dietl, Urs Trinkner, The effect of marginal cost elasticity on competitive balance, Journal of Sports Economics, Vol. 9 (4), 2008. (Journal Article)
This article presents a model of talent investments where two clubs compete for prizes. Our model is based on a general class of cost functions with a constant elasticity of marginal costs with respect to investments. The analysis finds that reduced revenue sharing improves competitive balance. Furthermore, we show that a higher elasticity of marginal costs with respect to investments enhances competitive balance and simultaneously reduces the negative effect of revenue sharing on competitive balance. |
|
David Seidl, Dominik van Aaken, Anticipating critique and occasional reason: Modes of reasoning in the face of a radically open future, In: The Handbook of Research on Strategy and Foresight, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, p. 48 - 65, 2008. (Book Chapter)
|
|
M Mohe, David Seidl, Wieso scheitern Beratungsprojekte? Eine kritische Analyse, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliches Studium, Vol. 37, 2008. (Journal Article)
|
|
Simon Scheidegger, M. Liebendörfer, T. Fischer, C. Fröhlich, W.R. Hix, K. Langanke, G. Martinez-Pinedo, A. Mezzacappa, F.-K. Thielemann, S.C. Whitehouse, Nuclear physics in core-collapse supernovae, New Astronomy Reviews, Vol. 52 (7-10), 2008. (Journal Article)
Core-collapse and the launch of a supernova explosion form a very short episode of few seconds in the evolution of a massive star, during which an enormous gravitational energy of several times 1053 erg is transformed into observable neutrino-, kinetic-, and electromagnetic radiation energy. We emphasize the wide range of matter conditions that prevail in a supernova event and sort the conditions into distinct regimes in the density and entropy phase diagram to briefly discuss their different impact on the neutrino signal, gravitational wave emission, and ejecta. |
|
Simon Scheidegger, T. Fischer, S. C. Whitehouse, M. Liebendörfer, Gravitational waves from 3D MHD core collapse simulations, Astronomy and Astrophysics, Vol. 490 (1), 2008. (Journal Article)
We present the gravitational wave analyses from rotating (model s15g) and nearly non-rotating (model s15h) 3D MHD core collapse supernova simulations at bounce and during the first couple of ten milliseconds afterwards. The simulations are launched from 15 progenitor models stemming from stellar-evolution calculations. Gravity is implemented by a spherically symmetric effective general relativistic potential. The input physics uses the Lattimer-Swesty equation of state for hot, dense matter and a neutrino parametrisation scheme that is accurate until the first few ms after bounce. The 3D simulations allow us to study features already known from 2D simulations, as well as nonaxisymmetric effects. In agreement with recent results, we find only type I gravitational wave signals at core bounce. In the later stage of the simulations, one of our models (s15g) shows nonaxisymmetric gravitational wave emission caused by a low T/|W| dynamical instability, while the other model radiates gravitational waves due to a convective instability in the protoneutron star. The total energy released in gravitational waves within the considered time intervals is (s15g) and (s15h). Both core collapse simulations indicate that corresponding events in our Galaxy would be detectable either by the LIGO or Advanced LIGO detector.
|
|
Ian A Cooper, Kjell G. Nyborg, Tax-adjusted discount rates with investor taxes and risky debt, Financial Management, Vol. 37 (2), 2008. (Journal Article)
This paper derives a tax-adjusted discount rate formula with a constant proportion leverage policy, investor taxes, and risky debt. The result depends on an assumption about the treatment of taxlosses in default. We identify the assumption that justiftes the textbook approach of discounting interest tax shields at the cost of debt. We contrast this with an alternative assumption that leads to the Sick (1990) result that these should be discounted at the riskless rate. These two approachesrepresent polar cases. Each generates its results by using a different simplifying assumption, and we explain what determines the correct treatment in practice. We also discuss implementation of the valuation procedure using the capital asset pricing model. |
|
Sven Seuken, Shlomo Zilberstein, Formal Models and Algorithms for Decentralized Decision Making Under Uncertainty, Journal of Autonomous Agents and Multi-Agent Systems (JAAMAS), Vol. 17 (2), 2008. (Journal Article)
Over the last 5 years, the AI community has shown considerable interest in
decentralized control of multiple decision makers or “agents” under uncertainty. This problem
arises in many application domains, such as multi-robot coordination, manufacturing,
information gathering, and load balancing. Such problems must be treated as decentralized
decision problems because each agent may have different partial information about the other
agents and about the state of theworld. It has been shown that these problems are significantly
harder than their centralized counterparts, requiring new formal models and algorithms to be
developed. Rapid progress in recent years has produced a number of different frameworks,
complexity results, and planning algorithms. The objectives of this paper are to provide a
comprehensive overview of these results, to compare and contrast the existing frameworks,
and to provide a deeper understanding of their relationships with one another, their strengths,
and their weaknesses. While we focus on cooperative systems, we do point out important
connections with game-theoretic approaches. We analyze five different formal frameworks,
three different optimal algorithms, as well as a series of approximation techniques. The paper
provides interesting insights into the structure of decentralized problems, the expressiveness
of the various models, and the relative advantages and limitations of the different solution
techniques. A better understanding of these issues will facilitate further progress in the field
and help resolve several open problems that we identify. |
|
Burkhard Stiller, WMAN 2008 - KuVS Fachgespräch über Mobile Ad-hoc Netzwerke, Universität Ulm, Fakultät für Ingenieurwissenschaften und Informatik, Ulm, Germany, 2008. (Book/Research Monograph)
|
|
Daniel Bisig, Rolf Pfeifer, Understanding by design: The synthetic approach to intelligence, In: Explorations in architecture: teaching, design, research, Beirkhaeuser, Basel, p. 124 - 133, 2008. (Book Chapter)
|
|