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Contribution Details

Type Journal Article
Scope Discipline-based scholarship
Title Particle Filtering, Learning, and Smoothing for Mixed-Frequency State-Space Models
Organization Unit
Authors
  • Markus Leippold
  • Hanlin Yang
Item Subtype Original Work
Refereed Yes
Status Published in final form
Language
  • English
Journal Title Econometrics and Statistics
Publisher Elsevier
Geographical Reach international
ISSN 2468-0389
Volume 12
Page Range 25 - 41
Date 2019
Abstract Text A particle filter approach for general mixed-frequency state-space models is considered. It employs a backward smoother to filter high-frequency state variables from low-frequency observations. Moreover, it preserves the sequential nature of particle filters, allows for non-Gaussian shocks and nonlinear state-measurement relation, and alleviates the concern over sample degeneracy. Simulation studies show that it outperforms the commonly used stateaugmented approach for mixed-frequency data for filtering and smoothing. In an empirical exercise, predictive mixed-frequency regressions are employed for Treasury bond and US dollar index returns with quarterly predictors and monthly stochastic volatility. Stochastic volatility improves model inference and forecasting power in a mixed-frequency setup but not for quarterly aggregate models.
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Digital Object Identifier 10.1016/j.ecosta.2019.07.001
Other Identification Number merlin-id:17992
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